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By claiming that there is a "negative loop between the financial system and the broader economy," the International Monetary Fund is essentially saying that we will be stuck in this bear market forever – literally.&nb
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You don't have to be a genius to explain (or to understand) the reasons that led to the subprime debacle and credit crisis. Here's what I mean: To blow up the financial world, follow these steps...
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It would be easy enough to shred this analysis with a few facts -- such as CNN's exit polling, which showed that by income, voters earning $200,000 and above went for Obama, 52% to 46%...
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I've read several details regarding Lehman's demise and learned some interesting facts. The bankruptcy filing was "pre-dawn" on the 15th, according to Bloomberg. The filing document is available in pdf form on the internet: it name
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The truly remarkable part of the story is how early he saw them. Bob described the ways that many dominos would fall before some of them were even set up. His earlier book, At the Crest of the Tidal Wave was published in 1995, while Conquer the Cras
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In the last month, the finanical powers-that-be have pulled the trigger on a "bailout bazooka" AND dropped the ultimate bailout A-bomb. YET -- the big, bad grizzly goes unscathed, taking the financial world by storm like some indes
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Once you know the direction of the dominant trend, "countertrend" moves then become the major challenge. These are more near term. We've said the dominant trend is downward for virtually the entire year it's been unfolding -- and t
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If you get nothing by way of a real answer from the government, it's reasonable to conclude that the government doesn't have a real answer...
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The trendlines represented in these charts may not correspond perfectly, but if you look at them and conclude that confidence does not correlate with consumption, then I humbly suggest a trip to the optometrist...
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Think the U.S. economy has gone to the dogs? You may be more right than you thought. A Wednesday, August 27 L.A. Times article explains why consumer confidence is sinking to a 40-year low, via a science experiment involving -- well -- two
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Have investors panicked and capitulated yet? Not according to this chart based on volume data since January 2008.
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Markets NEVER need a news-related "reason" to trend up or down -- if anything, today's stock market trend anticipates the type of broader news story you'll be reading tomorrow. This truth is lost on the vast majority of reporters a
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On a day when the DJIA fell another 678 points to close below 8,600, it seems appropriate to talk about the herding impulse in humans. We at EWI observed decades ago that the financial markets are anything by rational. Now the mainstream media is al
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An unending irony is that theoretical work spawns formulas that become the basis of financial models, in which fund managers, bank CEOs and regulators assume place an extraordinary measure of faith. How much faith, you ask
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It's the portfolio that includes Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And AIG, too. Then there's the banks you hold: big banks, small banks, bank stocks and more. Your portfolio has also recently been waist-deep in the commercial paper market -- lending to t
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Real estate is the one financial market everyone cares about. Now that home prices are down as much as 25% in some parts of the U.S., overseas homeowners – in Europe, Asia and Australia – are starting to worry about what will hap
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People have lost confidence, and the markets reflect their concern. Without confidence, the financial house of cards falls down. This is exactly what Bob Prechter writes in his best-selling business book, Conquer the Crash.
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