The Dollar tends to gain as risk aversion rises because dollar-based investors repatriate money or look for safety in U.S. Treasury debt. US factory activity plunged to a 26-year low last month boosted US and global recession fears. Analyst said the US manufacturing data, an $11bio capital injection in South Korea, an interest rate cut in India and expected rate cuts in the euro zone, Britain and Australia show ongoing stress in financial markets and the world economy even as interbank lending markets continue to loosen up.
The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are expected to cut rates by at least 50bp. The Federal Reserve last week cut its key rate by 50bp to 1 percent and the Bank of Japan cut its rate to 0.30% percent from 0.50%. Analysts say the BoE is the most likely of the three to surprise markets with an even heftier rate cut.
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